Machine Learning Approach for Forecast Analysis of Novel COVID-19 Scenarios in India

The novel coronavirus (nCOV) is a new strain that needs to be hindered from spreading by taking effective preventive measures as swiftly as possible. Timely forecasting of COVID-19 cases can ultimately support in making significant decisions and planning for implementing preventive measures. In this study, three common machine learning (ML) approaches via linear regression (LR), sequential minimal optimization (SMO) regression, and M5P techniques have been discussed and implemented for forecasting novel coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19) pandemic scenarios. To demonstrate the forecast accuracy of the aforementioned ML approaches, a preliminary sample-study has been conducted on the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic scenario for three different countries including the United States of America (USA), Italy, and Australia. Furthermore, the contributions of this study are extended by conducting an in-depth forecast study on COVID-19 pandemic scenarios for the first, second, and third waves in India. An accurate forecasting model has been proposed, which has been constructed on the basis of the results of the aforementioned forecasting models of COVID-19 pandemic scenarios. The findings of the research highlight that LR is a potential approach that outperforms all other forecasting models tested herein in the present COVID-19 pandemic scenario. Finally, the LR approach has been used to forecast the likely onset of the fourth wave of COVID-19 in India.

Prediction of Happiness Score of Countries by Considering Maximum Infection Rate of People by COVID-19 using Random Forest Algorithm

In this paper, the relationship between COVID-19 Maximum Infection Rate (MIR) and the happiness indicators has been investigated for the prediction of Happiness Score of Countries using Random Forest (RF) algorithm. The per-formance of the proposed algorithm is also compared against five other algorithms such as Linear Regression (LR), Ada Boost Classifier (ABC), K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN), Gaussian Naive Bayes (NB) and Logistic Regression. The comparison of performance includes parameters like training accuracy, testing accuracy and computation time. It is clear from the observation that the proposed approach is superior to others. Then the parameters like MAE, MSE, RMSE, R2 Score, Adjusted R2 Score is calculated. This proposed algorithm can be used for other classification and regression work involving large amount of data with missing values like COVID- 19 datasets. © 2022 IEEE.

A machine learning forecasting model for COVID-19 pandemic in India.

Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is an inflammation disease from a new virus. The disease causes respiratory ailment (like influenza) with manifestations, for example, cold, cough and fever, and in progressively serious cases, the problem in breathing. COVID-2019 has been perceived as a worldwide pandemic and a few examinations are being led utilizing different numerical models to anticipate the likely advancement of this pestilence. These numerical models dependent on different factors and investigations are dependent upon potential inclination. Here, we presented a model that could be useful to predict the spread of COVID-2019. We have performed linear regression, Multilayer perceptron and Vector autoregression method for desire on the COVID-19 Kaggle data to anticipate the epidemiological example of the ailment and pace of COVID-2019 cases in India. Anticipated the potential patterns of COVID-19 effects in India dependent on data gathered from Kaggle. With the common data about confirmed, death and recovered cases across India for over the time length helps in anticipating and estimating the not so distant future. For extra assessment or future perspective, case definition and data combination must be kept up persistently.